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The Orange County CA housing market has shifted with sudden jump in buyer demand.
During the past month from January 15 to February 15, 2015, buyer demand has increased by 64%.
After the first month of 2015, it looked like this year would be similar to 2014. However, the market shifted with greater buyer demand during the past month.
Home buyer demand increased by 566 pending sales in the past two weeks and now totals 2,619. This two week surge was the largest increase since February 2012. Last year at this time demand was at 2,381 pending sales, 9% fewer than today. As a result of the rapid increase in demand, the expected market time dropped to 62 days from 78 just two weeks ago, pushing housing deeper into a seller’s market.
Something changed, and the big difference is cheaper money in the form of low interest rates. Low interest rates are fueling housing demand and, as a direct result, the Orange County housing market has blasted off.
Today’s rates are a half a point cheaper than a year ago. For a jumbo conforming loan, loans between $417,001 and 625,500, rates are at 4% versus 4.5% a year ago. For the median priced home in December 2014, $591,000, and a 20% down payment, a buyer is looking at a monthly mortgage of $2,257 at today’s rate, versus $2,396 at 4.5%. That’s a savings of $139 per month, nearly $1,700 per year, or $50,000 over the 30-year term.
Buyers are making wise choices to pull the trigger now – to buy now because rates are cheap and are down to historical lows.
Current home loan interest rates are low, because they have been artificially pushed down by the Federal Reserve for years. The Federal Fund rate has been kept at nearly zero since December 2008. They have hinted at raising these rates. When short term rate increases, long term rates, home mortgages, will soon follow.
Prior to the recession of 2007 to 2009, mortgage rates were about 6.5%. For the December median sales price home, that’s an extra $731 per month every single month. In 2000, rates were at 8%, or an extra $1,212 per month. In 1990, rates were at 10%, and in 1981 they reached 18%.
Today’s rates are unbelievably low – and smart buyers will take advantage of this gift compliments of the U.S. government.
It’s likely that the FED will keep rates in the low to mid-five-percent range within the next couple of years. That difference in monthly payments will put a dent in buyers’ pocketbooks and their monthly budgets. Cashing in on low rates today means more disposable income.
Many Orange County CA buyers will continue to look to pay the Fair Market Value for a home this year. From the official start of spring at the end of March, through the start of summer at the end of June, more homes will come on the market than any other season. Home selling success will be determined by value and correct seller pricing.
By Harrison K. Long, professional real estate representative, Realtor, real estate broker, and professional real estate representative at Orange County CA. Source of some information is ReportsOnHousing.com and CRMLS multiple listing service.
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Professional real estate agent and broker representation – with help for property owners, home sellers, private trust estate representatives, estate administrators, executors and heirs, probate and trust attorneys, estate planners, income tax professionals, public guardians, fiduciaries, investor group managers, bankers, and individuals, with listing and sale of properties at Orange County, CA. Contact us at 949-854-7747 with your questions about home prices and values at Orange County CA cities and areas with Home Selling and Real Estate market updates.
“Orange County CA Housing Demand blasts off.”
Good news for home buyers is that Orange County price appreciation is no longer in white hot territory.
Home sellers this year 2014 need to seriously consider the comps and what buyers are paying for homes.
Our Orange County real estate market has changed during 2014, and buyers are looking to pay fair market value.
More Orange County homes listed for sale are sitting on the market without buyers.
Average market time for OC home selling has gone up, and active inventory of listings has been up all year. 8,057 Orange County homes are now listed for sale, which is 2,535 more than were on the market same time last year (a 45 percent increase in listings this year).
Orange County price and values skyrocketed from 2012 to the end of 2013. Sellers priced their homes above recent sale prices and received multiple offers – sometimes selling for more than list prices.
That’s stopped! Buyers at the OC now want to pay at value relative to recent sales – and expect to pay “fair market value”.
Orange County home selling usually cools after the kids return to school, and we expect this to moderate further from Thanksgiving through start of the New Year 2015.
Buyers have better options this years and are looking for nice upgraded homes and real value. Sellers are no longer in complete control and need to price their homes correctly while considering recent comp sales, location, upgrades, and condition of the home.
Sellers should price their homes realistically and correctly according to value from the start of marketing time and then expect positive results.
We here to help you evaluate the market in your area and price your home to sell.
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By Harrison K. Long. Source of some information is ReportsOnHousing.com and is for homes sold by all brokers and agents.
Professional REALTOR® agent representation and help for property owners, home sellers, private trust estate representatives, estate administrators, executors and heirs, probate and trust attorneys, estate planners, income tax professionals, public guardians, fiduciaries, investor group managers, bankers, and individuals, with listing and sale of properties at Orange County, CA.
Contact us at 949-854-7747 with your questions about home prices and values at Irvine, Newport Beach, Costa Mesa, and other Orange County CA cities and areas.